CSE655: Probabilistic Reasoning

Assignment # 1

Date: September 5, 2009

Reading Assignment

Each student is required to prepare a presentation from the following assigned work and present it in the class as per the given schedule.

Presentation Date
Download Presentations
Chapter 2
Bayesian Network and Decision Graphs by Jensen and Nielsen
Quratulain Rajput
September 16, 2009

Chapter 1
Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis by Kjaerulff and Madsen
Raza Abedi
September 16, 2009

Chapter 4
Modeling and Reasoning with Bayesian Networks by Adnan Darwiche
Asma Larik
September 19, 2009

Chapter 5
Probabilistic Methods for Bioinformatics : With an Introduction to Bayesian Networks by Richard Neapolitan
Saleha Raza
September 19, 2009

Practice Assignment (Due on September 12, 2009)

Generate the complete joint probability distribution of the following two Bayesian Networks using the chain rule of Bayesian Networks:

I suggest using MS Excel for the computations. After generating the joint distributions, compare the marginal distributions obtained through Excel computations and the ones obtained through GeNIe.

Also compute P(Serium | Calcium) in Model # 1 using Excel and compare your answer with GeNIe. Repeat this excercise (comparison) for P(Earthquake | JohnCalls) and P(MarryCalls | Earthquake) in Model # 2.